The US Dollar Index (USDX, DXY) is an index (or measure) of the value of the United States dollar relative to a basket of foreign currencies, often referred to as a basket of US trade partners’ currencies. Source Wikipedia The trade-weighted US dollar index, also known as the broad index, is a measure of the value of the United States dollar relative to other world currencies. It is similar to the U.S. Dollar Index in that its numerical value is determined as a weighted average of the price of various currencies relative to the dollar, but different currencies are used and relative values are weighted differently. Source Wikipedia
The reason I review the US Dollar Index everyday is it allows me to understand what the Dollar has done for the recent past, what the Dollar is doing at the moment and what I expect the Dollar to do in the near future. This helps me identify a bias on the US Dollar which I use when trading US Dollar pairs.
How to view this technical overview
1. Support and resistance zones shown in green and pink. Bulls buy at support and bears sell at resistance.
2. Keep in mind that when price breaks through support the level will be tested in future as resistance – this is called role reversal.
3. Market direction indicated by 21 and 55. Take note of where the 21 is in relation to the 55 and where price is in relation to the 21. Also take note of the width between the two moving averages. If price is below the 21 you may consider looking for selling opportunities. If the 21 is dynamic resistance then if price falls from the 21 it predicts a lower low – the opposite applies when the 21 is dynamic support. If the 55 is dynamic resistance then if price falls from the 55 it predicts a double bottom – the opposite applies when the 55 is dynamic support.
4. Direction of price is indicated by 5 and 8 MA’s and stochastic cycles. Remember that when you line up higher and lower time frames, price is going in the same direction. The goal is to line up market and price while using support and resistance as your leading indicator.
5. Pay attention to reversal patterns on higher time frames when in a trending market – a reversal pattern could mean the end of a trend. Keep in mind that a reversal pattern that is not at support or resistance is meaningless.
6. Pay attention to reversal patterns on lower time frames when confirming your entry and if you want additional confirmation wait for a 5 8 cross on M5 or M1 before entering your trade. Remember – we enter on the second chance on the 5 minute chart.
a. Please read Kate’s post on Forex Major Currencies Outlook everyday so you are up to date with the latest news. You can follow Kate here
b. Please be aware of risk events for the day by using the Forex.Today calendar
c. Watch Wayne’s webinar daily at 13:30 SAST or catch the recording on the Forex.Today Youtube Channel