Summary:
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Oil prices fell in early Asian trade session on Monday, wiping out some of the gains of the previous session amid worries lower growth targets in China could cut oil demand and ongoing concern over Russia’s compliance with a global deal to cut oil output. Furthermore, worries over escalating violence in the Middle East put a floor under prices.

Brent crude futures dropped 47 cents, or 0.8 percent, to $55.43 a barrel, settling 1.5 percent higher in the previous session.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures fell 47 cents, or 0.9 percent, to $52.86 a barrel after closing the previous session up 1.4 percent.

The main drag affecting markets today is the lowering of growth targets by China and tighter regulatory controls which implies less demand for oil and commodities in general.

China aims to expand its economy by around 6.5 percent this year, Premier Li Ke Qiang said in his work report at the opening of the annual meeting of parliament on Sunday.

That is lower than the 6.7 percent growth achieved last year.

Meanwhile, figures by Russia’s energy ministry released last week showed February oil output was unchanged from January at 11.11 million barrels per day (bpd), casting doubt on Russia’s moves to rein in output as part of a pact with oil producers last year.

Despite uncertainty over output cuts, crude inventories among OECD members would normalize slightly faster than expected this year due to larger-than-expected production cuts this year and higher demand in 2016, Goldman Sachs said on Monday.

Oil prices rose on Friday as the dollar weakened modestly after a speech by U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen suggested a rate increase would come at the end of a two-day Fed meeting on March 15.

A weaker dollar bolsters commodity prices, including oil. While a rate hike would be supportive for the U.S. dollar, near-term rate hike was already largely priced in by market.

Crude oil prices were also supported by news of increasing supply disruptions in the Middle East. That followed new doubts over Libya’s attempts to revive its oil production after an armed faction entered two major oil ports on Friday, pushing back forces that captured and reopened the terminals in September.

In the near term, I wont be surprise if price continue to trade within the daily range.

Brent 4hr

Brent is trading in daily range. Price opens up this morning at 4hr role reversal area, it is also in confluence with WPP. I'd be looking for opportunity to sell with profit target at bottom of the range in confluence with WS2 54 psych level.

WTi 4hr

WTi have somewhat similar structure where the price is also trading in a daily range.Price opens up this morning at 4hr role reversal area, it is also in confluence with WPP. I'd be looking for opportunity to sell with profit target at bottom of the range in confluence with WS2 51.5 mid-point psych level.

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