How to trade this plan
1. Support and resistance zones shown in green and pink with arrows indicating direction. Bulls buy at support and bears sell at resistance.
2. Keep in mind that when price breaks through support the level will be tested in future as resistance – this is called role reversal.
3. Market direction indicated by 21 and 55. Take note of where the 21 is in relation to the 55 and where price is in relation to the 21. Also take note of the width between the two moving averages. If price is below the 21 you may consider looking for selling opportunities. If the 21 is dynamic resistance then if price falls from the 21 it predicts a lower low – the opposite applies when the 21 is dynamic support. If the 55 is dynamic resistance then if price falls from the 55 it predicts a double bottom – the opposite applies when the 55 is dynamic support.
4. Direction of price is indicated by 5 and 8 MA’s and stochastic cycles. Remember that when you line up higher and lower time frames, price is going in the same direction. The goal is to line up market and price while using support and resistance as your leading indicator.
5. Pay attention to reversal patterns on higher time frames when in a trending market – a reversal pattern could mean the end of a trend. Keep in mind that a reversal pattern that is not at support or resistance is meaningless.
6. Pay attention to reversal patterns on lower time frames when confirming your entry and if you want additional confirmation wait for a 5 8 cross on M5 or M1 before entering your trade. Remember – we enter on the second chance on the 5 minute chart.
7. I have added a summary under the H1 chart indicating observations and trade plan.

Note:
a. Please read Kate’s post on Forex Major Currencies Outlook everyday so you are up to date with the latest news. Here is today’s post: Forex Major Currencies Outlook (Aug 25, 2016)
b. Please be aware of risk events for the day by using the Forex.Today calendar
c. Watch Wayne’s webinar daily at 13:30 SAST or catch the recording on the Forex.Today Youtube Channel

GBPJPY Daily

GBPJPY H4

GBPJPY H1

Price is currently at the daily 21 with support below. Bearish market on daily is slowing down though if price falls here then it will start speeding up. H4 shows a bullish trend and higher highs and higher lows. H1 shows a bullish market and higher highs and higher lows. If price rises from DPP then the target for the day will be DR2. If price falls to DM2 and rises from there the target would be DM4. Keep an eye on the H4 21 should we get to WR1/ DM2. If price moves up then I will buy the pull back off role reversal support on a 5 minute chart. Until I see a reversal pattern on H4 I expect the market to continue moving up. The target for the week is WR2 which is just below DR2. Possible for bulls to get there today or tomorrow in time for Yellen?

2 thoughts on “Beast (GBPJPY) 250816”

  1. adamp says:

    Clear, concise, well thought out analysis Ryan, cheers.

    1. Ryan Gandalf van Jaarsveld says:

      Thanks bud!

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